Tuesday, November 06, 2012 

Bomber Cameron's on tour again.

Last year, while on his previous jaunt around the Middle East selling weapons to autocracies, David Cameron had a sudden attack of the vapours.  There he was, pimping himself out for the country, going to a godforsaken land where his only home comfort was Fruit Ninja, and the journalists who'd travelled with him had the temerity to question whether he should be there at all!  Didn't these people understand even shitty little democracies like Kuwait must have the right to defend themselves?  Granted, it's not clear how they're meant to defend themselves from invading forces with the stuff we mostly sell them, such as riot shields, but that's irrelevant.  This is about supporting British business and British manufacturing, not to forget the rebalancing of the economy away from the state and financial sectors.  Why are all these critics so obtuse?

This time round, the Cameron team's solution to prevent embarrassment was simple: they just didn't invite the media along with them.  After all, who needs the cynical British press around when all they do is whinge and moan about everything?  They also tend to ask uncomfortable questions in front of foreign dignitaries, whether they be objections to the UAE's puritanism which leads to British citizens getting thrown in prison for enjoying themselves too much, or in the case of our dear friends the Saudis, so much as asking them about anything.

They are incredibly easily offended, you see.  A jumped-up committee went so far as to announce a review into our relations with Bahrain and the House of Saud, and in double quick time the ambassador was telling anyone who would listen how "insulting" such an inquiry was.  And as with almost any tyrannical regime (with the possible exception of North Korea, who only the really out there tiny Communist sects will defend) there are a few apologists more than ready to say how terrible it is that the Saudis are so misunderstood.  Take Daniel Kawczynski, who thinks we all have a distorted, negative, prejudicial view of the Kingdom.  Just because it's an absolute monarchy where women are treated as chattel, the "morality" police are all powerful and the royal family is notoriously corrupt doesn't mean it's all bad.  Crime's low, witchcraft is punishable by death and there aren't any alcoholics because there's no alcohol.  A bit different to our crack-addled, poverty-ridden inner cities, eh?

Besides, we need to flog the Eurofighters to someone: at best, they'll eventually end up costing us £23bn; at worst, it'll be £37bn, or almost the equivalent of an entire year's defence budget.  The Saudis have already taken some, and now we're trying to get the UAE to take a few as well.  Although originally intended as a fighter to battle the Soviets, we've since spent even more money making them slightly more useful as an air-to-ground bomber.  This raises the question of what exactly the Saudis and the UAE will end up using them for.  Clearly they'll be a deterrent, but just how likely is a conventional invasion of either nation?  Considering the Saudis have previously shown little inclination towards intervening anywhere other than proxy states such as Bahrain, where a show of force was enough to crush the uprising there, it's dubious in the extreme they're likely to be used in an attack in Iran or elsewhere, except in a reprisal for a pre-emptive strike.

Just as Syria has turned to using fighter jets for bombing raids, so you can bet that both nations wouldn't hesitate to use the Eurofighters against their own citizens should they become similarly restive.  Indeed, the Shia minority in Saudi Arabia is already being ruthlessly repressed, while the slightest sign of protest in the UAE has been cracked down on hard.  The incredible thing is that both countries are complaining bitterly about how the West has responded to the Arab spring despite our leaders barely whispering a word of criticism about the situation in Bahrain, and only reacting to events elsewhere as they happened.  The Saudis have become so paranoid at developments that they genuinely believe there's a region wide Iran-led conspiracy to undermine majority Sunni states, at the exact same time as they fund the Salafis arriving to fight against the Ba'athist dictatorship in Syria.  To come back to Kawcyznski, he was glib enough to say we have to "consider what would happen if Saudi Arabia was in the hands of an extremist Muslim government".  Does he mean one that sponsors international terrorism?

The reality is that we've long run scared of the Saudis, and as with so much else in politics, those formerly in positions of influence have since joined up with the defence companies they used to deal with.  Former Saudi ambassador Sherard Cowper-Coles, who was instrumental in getting the Serious Fraud Office investigation into the al-Yamanah deal dropped, is now BAE's international business development director.  No doubt the princes that escaped the ignominy of having their corrupt dealings exposed will be eternally grateful.

Still, when David Cameron says that there are no "no-go areas" when it comes to discussing human rights, he's clearly telling the truth.  There are no "no-go areas" because they just don't enter into the dealing.  When Iran is so clearly the enemy, regardless of how we aren't set on fully cooperating with an attack at the moment, our friendship with the nations that'll provide us with bases from where attacks can either be launched or coordinated is far more important than the slightest concern for those without even the most basic rights.  But hey, both Saudi Arabia and the UAE are high on the human development index, and isn't that all that matters?

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Tuesday, September 25, 2012 

Who says we're abandoning our traditions?

In keeping with the glorious tradition of the British military training future dictators, it's just swell to see that not only were senior Syrian military figures given the once over back here in Blighty, no doubt instructed in how to handle demonstrations without resorting immediately to shelling the protesters, but that soldiers from both Sudan and the Democratic Republic of Congo have also been welcomed with open arms to Sandhurst.  While Sudan isn't quite in the same dire straits as Syria, protests have been on-going there since the beginning of the Arab spring, while the DRC has never recovered from the two Congo wars and the Kivu conflict.  Doubtless some of the training has been put to good practical use rather than to just disrupt protests and crack down on dissent, yet it's hardly surprising there's cynicism about exactly what purpose these links fulfil.

How unlike our continuing connection and cooperation with the government of Bahrain, as how can you possibly be cynical about something so out in the open? And how in any case could anyone be critical of what is and has long been such a lucrative mutual relationship?  We send them John Yates to give their police advice on how to stall investigations respect human rights, and they bung us £3 million quid for a new sports hall at Sandhurst while buying British-made lethal weaponry at our premier arms fair.  Everyone's a winner.  Oh, except for the poor sods who don't much like living under an all but absolute monarchy directly connected to the House of Saud.

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Friday, July 13, 2012 

Quote of the year.

It is wrong to allege that in the runup to the Arab spring UK export controls were lax.

Alistair Burt, the same minister who gave the OK for Bahrani officials to visit the DSEi arms fair last September.
Link

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Wednesday, July 11, 2012 

John Yates says it's fine, so who are we to disagree?


Considering the amount of adverse comment on the holding of the Bahrain grand prix earlier in the year, it's fascinating to learn that our glorious government decided it was fine for officials from the Bahrani government to visit the DSEi arms fair in September of 2011. By contrast, those lily-livered Americans only gave the go ahead for weapon sales to resume in May of this year, and then supposedly they wouldn't be supplying anything that could be used for "crowd control".

We of course couldn't care less about the citizens of countries whose governments are just one step removed from major allies like Saudi Arabia, while we pretend to care deeply about the civilians in Syria, closely allied as the Assad regime is with Iran. It's not exactly surprisisng then that there has been almost no coverage whatsoever of the protests in Qatif in the House of Saud's happy kingdom, this New York Times piece a notable exception. When there's tens of thousands protesting against the most tyrannical ruling class in the whole of the Middle East, it's about time those who have been romanticising the Free Syrian Army changed the record.

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Tuesday, February 22, 2011 

David Cameron thinks you're a cretin.

Last week at prime minister's questions, as wonderfully noted by Simon Hoggart, the Labour MP for Greenwich Nick Raynsford stood up and asked David Cameron what abiding image those visiting London for next year's Olympics games would take home with them. The suggestion was that it could well be the number of homeless on the streets as a result of the double whammy of the "government's economic failure and harsh housing benefit cuts". While it wasn't the sharpest of questions and in any case as past Olympics have shown such undesirables are "moved on" from the vicinity of the main gaming locations for the duration, Cameron completely ignored the implication and instead answered the question he hoped to have been asked, a ploy increasingly abused at PMQs. Even though Raynsford had explicitly made clear that one of the memories that could be taken would be a "brilliantly, successfully staged Olympic games", Cameron decided that his inquisitor had somehow besmirched the glorious 3-week long farrago of dick-measuring, replying "if the Member who represents Greenwich cannot speak up for the Olympics, there really is a problem".

As for whether Cameron was being deliberately obtuse or whether it comes naturally to him, why can't it be both? While we hardly expect prime ministers to answer every question posed to them in the chamber in the fashion in which they are asked, especially as it would set some sort of precedent, when they start acting in the same obscurantist fashion outside of parliament in a supposedly neutral venue like Kuwait it suggests firstly that they're a complete cretin and secondly that they think you are as well.

One of the best ways to do this at the same time as misrepresenting the criticism being made against you is to feign disbelief. While then Cameron has been attacked for essentially acting as the fluffer for the arms firms he's touring the Gulf states with and for deciding to go ahead with the whole shebang just as most of the oppressed peoples of the region are either rising up or planning to protest against the self-same autocrats he'll be glad-handing, he limited the entire argument just to Kuwait. Poor old Dave simply can't

understand how you can't understand how democracies have a right to defend themselves. I would have thought this argument is particularly powerful right here in Kuwait which, 20 years ago, was invaded by a thuggish bullying neighbour who disrespected your sovereignty, invaded your country and destroyed parts of your capital city.

No one, it's almost needless to say, had so much as even suggested that democracies should be denied the right to defend themselves by being entirely denied the weaponry with which to do it with. Kuwait is after all a democracy, although not one which we would instantly recognise as such. Indeed, according to Human Rights Watch freedom of speech and assembly both came under attack last year, while only on Saturday a peaceful protest was broken up using "water cannons, teargas, smoke bombs, and concussion grenades", or in other words exactly what David Cameron has gone to the country to help flog, and which aren't much use in putting down say, a renewed invasion attempt by Iraq. We could also point out that at the time Iraq invaded Kuwait we'd been clandestinely supplying weapons or their precursors to Saddam anyway, although perhaps it'd be better if we didn't go over those past Conservative-helmed indiscretions in too much detail.

In any case, as Cameron went on, when we do take part in the defence trade "we do so with probably the tightest set of export licences and rules almost anywhere in the world". So tight in fact that as we've seen, last year we sold ammunition and tear gas to Libya while Bahrain gratefully received assault rifles. Neither prior to last month's protests was anything resembling a democracy, to address Cameron's first point, while we should acknowledge that as he said it's a "difficult process to get right on every occasion". It certainly is: who could have possibly imagined what purpose Gaddafi and the Sunni absolute monarchy of Bahrain would have used tear gas for? As for the United Arab Emirates, where defence minister Gerald Howarth is currently at the Idex 2011 arms fair, to whom last year we sold heavy machine guns amongst other "controlled" exports and which Cameron will be making a stop off at some point, HRW informs us that last year things worsened, with a member of the royal family acquitted of torturing a man despite the video evidence which showed him "abusing Afghan grain dealer Mohammed Shah Poor with whips, electric cattle prods, and wooden planks with protruding nails".

Who then could possibly be ashamed of our "properly regulated trade in defence"? Certainly not our completely unembarrassed, straight-forward and honest prime minister, and most certainly not the beneficiary he went out to meet. Sheikh Nasser Mohammed al-Ahmed al-Sabah has £70bn to spend over 4 years; something of a raise on the under £7,000,000 Kuwait spent on goods sold under military licence last year. Money, as they say, talks.

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Monday, February 21, 2011 

The secret to arms sales is timing.

Say what you like about David Cameron, he has a sense of timing that many aspiring comedians would die for. Other prime ministers might well have thought twice about going ahead with an ordinary trade tour of Gulf states just as the region is in tumult, being rocked by wave after wave of protests against those very autocratic rulers he's in popping in to see. It could after all seem slightly sordid and tasteless to be flogging the nation's wares at such a time to those that are buying it with the stolen national wealth of their own citizens.

David Cameron isn't just any prime minister, though: he's the head of a government that's decided the best thing our ambassadors and embassy staff abroad can do is get out there and sell Britain. Literally.

"I want you to ask yourself every day: 'What am I doing to promote British business?' If you want to keep Britain's great ambassadorial residences then I want you to show me that every day you are using them relentlessly to open new trade links and to generate new business for Britain."

Never mind things like just how utterly revolting the regime is or whether or not doing business there involves the everyday use of backhanders; get out there and start promoting!

We should then see Cameron's decision to travel to Kuwait with eight of our finest arms manufacturers in tow as him just doing his bit for British business. Even he, blatant and brazen as he is, must have had more than a slight twinge about how this would be seen just as the Bahrani and Libyan security forces have respectively turned their Western supplied and British manufactured weapons on those demanding the same freedoms their brothers in Tunisia and Egypt have won in the last month. Whether it was his own plan or not, his time in charge of PR at Carlton still serving him well, the decision to stop off for an "unannounced" "surprise visit" in newly liberated Cairo was a master stroke. It's also the most blatant and cynical piece of spin yet resorted to by the new government, the kind which had it happened under our previous overlords would have resulted in spirited denunciations of ZaNuLiarBore and its despicable media management practices.

In any case, the main whoring out is being spiritedly conducted by Gerald Howarth, long a shadow defence minister and also one who condemned the Guardian as a "communist newspaper which has it in for BAE [Systems]", the paper having had the temerity to suggest that some of its dealings had been corrupt. He's out in Abu Dhabi, for now a haven of stability in an uncertain Middle East, at the largest regional arms fair of the year, where 93 individual British companies are touting for business. On public display will be the very equipment being deployed by those who wish to put down peaceful protest, such as rubber bullets and CS gas, and doubtless under the table as previously documented by Mark Thomas amongst others will be other devices which can easily be used to torture and shackle the more obstreperous citizens.

We can't of course put any blame on the coalition for the policy carried over involving engagement with Libya, which along with Gadaffi's giving up of his nuclear program and other weapons of mass destruction involved selling him exactly what his armed forces needed to be able to put down the current protests, the licences only now being hastily withdrawn. It's the same story with so much of the weaponry we sell - we never actually expect it to be used, and then only when the proverbial horse has bolted do we (temporarily) stop supplying it. We did however go somewhat further with Libya, as has been noted: we can be proud that ours was the biggest pavilion at the very recent Libyan arms fair held back in November.

Among the weapons on display were these ME-7,62mm Rangemaster sniper rifles, manufactured by RPA International of Tonbridge, Kent. It's a fair bet that a similar weapon fired the high calibre bullet which did this, a link you most certainly shouldn't visit if you're at work or squeamish.

The final word should then be left to Peter Luff, the defence procurement minister, speaking last year:

"There’s a sense that in the past we were rather embarrassed about exporting defence products. There’s no such embarrassment in this government."

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Wednesday, August 01, 2007 

Arms around Iran.

All hail the return of realpolitik. After the most cynical exercise in promoting democracy in the Middle East imaginable turned rather sour, with Hamas being elected in Palestine and dozens of Muslim Brotherhood candidates running as independents gaining seats in Egypt, the United States has quite understandably decided that demanding even piecemeal reform before handing over the bombs is like so 2003.

By far the most tyrannical regime in the region, which also happens to be the home to wealthy individuals who keep the various jihadist battles ticking over with their private funding, Saudi Arabia therefore receives a cool $20m arms package. This would be the country floating on a sea of oil which finds it no difficulty to pay for the laughable Eurofighter and other weaponry provided by our very own BAe Systems, as long as they sweeten the deal with the odd $1bn bung here and there. The very same regime which is so chauvinistic that it doesn't even allow women to drive is being provided with a massive amount of armory by the country that pretended that women's rights was one of the reasons why the Taliban must be defeated at all costs. Egypt gets $13bn, while Israel, already subsidised up its ears with American handouts, gets $30bn.

What then is the existential threat which requires such vast sums to be paid out to the regimes that remain friendly to American power regardless of their failures to institute political reform? It must be al-Qaida, right? After all, President Bush recently mentioned the group 95 times in a speech on why failure in Iraq will mean the inevitability of carnage returning to US streets. Only on Monday Bush declared that Gordon Brown understands the war that the US is waging against al-Qaida and everything that it stands for.

Well, it isn't. The reason why the Saudis and friends need even more cash to spend on the United States' finest weapon manufacturers is Iran. According to Condoleeza Rice:

There isn't a doubt that Iran constitutes the single most important single-country strategic challenge to the United States and to the kind of Middle East that we want to see.

Not a failed Iraqi state which becomes a new haven for jihadis already doing their respective degrees in car bombing, IED planting and the preparation of explosives, or indeed Pakistan, the newest concern for the neo-cons, but rather Iran, the only regime outside of the Palestinian territories which has even a semblance of democracy. Iran, the nation meant to be arming not just the Shia militias involved in the sectarian conflict within Iraq, but also, according to both the US and the insurgent groupings diametrically opposed to al-Qaida, the terrorist organisation that has declared that Shia are "kuffar", as well as the Taliban, the very movement which Iran co-operated with the US in overthrowing originally.

Let's not pretend that Iran is something that it isn't. Despite its "Islamic democracy", the real power lies with the supreme leader, who most certainly isn't going to be going before the country's people any time soon. Its human rights record is still appalling, as epitomised by the recent arrest and detention of Iranian-Americans accused of spying and espionage. In 2006 it was the second highest user of capital punishment after China, even executing those accused of adultery, and also continues to practice stoning. Social repression has increased as Ahmadinejad's other political failings have been exposed. It continues to defy UN resolutions on enriching uranium, which it claims is for purely peaceful purposes despite not having any nuclear power plants. It's the main source of funds to Hizbullah, the Lebanese Shia militant organisation that committed war crimes during last year's war with Israel.

Despite all this, it still remains the main bulwark in the region against the Salafism of Sunni fundamentalists, resulting recently in the "Islamic State of Iraq" directly threatening Iran with an insurgency of its own. A meeting last week between US and Iranian officials in Iraq recognised the threat posed to all three nations, with Iran holding the potential olive branch of increased co-operation, possibly in exchange for the five Iranians the US has held in Iraq since January. At the very bottom of the whole issue is that Iran has greatly benefited from the US invasion, something else which Rumsfeld and co either forgot or simply didn't bother to plan for. Iran in 2003 was a place where it seemed possible that the liberal reformists were in the ascendancy: removing Saddam was a dream come true for conservatives, as has been the rise of the long repressed Shia majority in Iraq once their tormentor was removed. At the same time, the resulting encirclement of the country by the US has also enabled the hardliners to play the Great Satan card.

No one is pretending that both the United States and Iran are about to end over 20 years of animosity and bury the hatchet. Both though already recognise the common threats they face. It takes some chutzpah on the behalf of the United States to claim that it's Iran destablising the region, but it's only the crazies that are still thinking that Iran's nuclear programme necessitates a pre-emptive strike. This latest round of sabre-rattling and pork barrel politics only highlights the political bankruptcy of both countries' foreign policy, and how the continuing rise of irrationality shows no signs of even beginning to falter.

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